Tuesday, July 02, 2019

How important is establishing Business trust in Stock Market?

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Trust matters, when it is all about money and money. Before investing in any company’s stock you must be a master in investment skills and have trust in that company. Publically traded companies establish their trust by listing to the Stock Market. Traders open up and fund a stock brokerage account with a broker that handles transactions on the public exchange where the stock is listed.

Most of the profit sharing companies give private investment opportunity or make trust by offering interested investors the opportunity to make private loans.

We examine whether the level of trust in a country affects investors' perception and utilization of information transmitted by firms through financial disclosure. Specifically, we investigate the effect of societal trust in investor reactions to corporate earnings announcements. We test two competing hypotheses. On the one hand, corporate earnings announcements are perceived as more credible by investors in more trusting societies and, therefore, elicit stronger investor reactions. On the other hand, societal trust mitigates outside investors' concern of moral hazard and reduces the value of corporate earnings announcements to them, thereby weakening their reactions to these events. We analyze the abnormal trading volume and abnormal stock return variance during the earnings announcement period in a large sample of firm-year observations across 25 countries, and we find that both measures of investor reactions to earnings announcements are significantly higher in more trusting countries. We also find that the positive effect of societal trust in investor reactions to earnings news is more pronounced when a country's investor protection and disclosure requirements are weaker, suggesting that trust acts as a substitute for formal institutions; when a country's average education level is lower, consistent with less educated people relying more on trust in making economic decisions; and when firm-level information asymmetry is higher, supporting the notion that trust plays a more an important role in poorer information environments.



Saturday, June 29, 2019

3 paper industry stocks which could give 20-23% return | Stock Market


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Manali Bhatia

China is the major consumer of paper worldwide at 106 million tonnes, followed by the US at 71 million tonnes and India sharing the same scale of the population as in China consumes a very little share which makes us understand the fact that India has a lower penetration rate and enjoys a greater scope of growth.
Talking particularly of the packaging sector, around 55 percent of the global consumption of paper is in wrapping and packaging. India is still behind in this particular segment. The plastic used to be the first choice of manufacturers for packaging.
In the recent past, state governments have taken a series of measures to ban plastic and ensured strict compliance in the plastic industry. This move has helped gain traction for the paper packaging industry, though not fully scaled up yet, and would increase its demand in the coming years. Also, robust demand in the food industry, mono cartons in the pharma sector, and multiple orders online are expected to drive substantial demand for paper packaging.
Secondly, China has banned the import of certain waste grade of paper owing to environmental concerns resulting in a decrease in waste paper prices. India which imports around 40 percent of waste paper stands to benefit out of the same. As already India has a scarcity of Pulpwood, the raw material used for manufacturing paper, and in the coming years owing to environmental concerns this scarcity is expected to shoot up further, giving pricing power to this industry. Attributes to this pricing power are also due to limited production (68.58 lakh tones) and increase in consumption (109.27 lakh tones).
Thirdly, there is a demand by major players to increase import duty on paper products, currently at 0 percent as per FTA. If it does, it would also provide benefit to this sector.
Also, the “Going digital” the slogan was expected to be a major slowdown in the paper sector. But, nevertheless, it should be known that paper packaging would be a boon for this industry.
JK Paper | Rating: Buy | CMP: Rs 122 | Target: Rs 150 | Return: 23 percent
The last quarter has been the best for FY19. A surge in the price of paper has contributed to an upside in revenue. Moreover, most of the pulp is derived from plantations close to their manufacturing units attributing to the reduction in material costs and expansion of margins.
The company is having two large integrated paper manufacturing units with a combined capacity of 4,55,000 TPA and is already running at 100 percent capacity utilization. At the Sirpur plant, two machines will start producing from the second quarter and the other two machines will be ready for production by September-October 2019. Thereby, the full capacity will be used for production purposes by October.
This additional expansion will help grow by at least 20 percent in volume terms. Furthermore, the expansion plan is in line for a new packaging board machine and pulp mill in Gujarat, awaiting environmental clearance were an additional new board machine of 1.7 lakh tone or two lakh ton would be added.
Also, it would be putting up a pulp mill of almost 1.5 lakh ton capacity in the next two years.
The company has a healthy financial profile; the net debt has been brought down significantly to Rs 700 crore in fiscal 2018-19 and the surplus cash being generated in going ahead will be used for repaying the debts.
Huhtamaki PPL | Rating: Buy | CMP: Rs 259 | Target: Rs 310 | Return: 20 percent
Being having a strong legacy, a unique client base and relative inelasticity of the FMCG sector (derives 80-90 percent of revenue) to economic cycles, coupled with the global footprint of parentage, and deep market penetration; aids company to make profits in long run.
In 2018, it suffered from extra provisioning on account of income tax and interest. However, from Q4 CY 18, most issues have been settled down and delivered vigorous Q1 CY19 results. Forthcoming, it expects topline to grow at 10-12 percent and likely to see 60-80 Bps ramp up in operating margin in the next two years. But, the margin growth depends on upcoming monsoon, the scenario of the FMCG sector and volatility in crude oil prices.
Increasing capacity utilization to a maximum of 80-85 percent, improving demand for flexible packaging and NASP initiatives would enable to improve its volume growth and boost revenues as well as profits ahead. In addition, the acquisition of PPIL and Ajanta Packaging (India) would help to consolidate its position in pressure sensitive label business, and is likely to be EPS accretive as well, which could help to expand strong foothold and growth too.
International Paper APPM | Rating: Buy | CMP: Rs 428 | Target: 520 | Return: 21 percent
International Paper APPM being an MNC company is well placed to take advantage of the growth in paper industry. On the front of the number, it reported pretty damn good results with EBITDA soared 61 percent during Q4 FY 19 driven by higher sales volume, record production levels, lower cost of raw material and improved operational efficiencies. Besides, a sharp fall in interest charges added to the company’s profitability, registering 83 percent PAT growth in Q4.
In addition, Debt has been significantly dwindled from Rs 180 crores to Rs 12.54 crores in FY 19 and is expect to be brought down further moving forward. Despite its plant running at 95 percent capacity utilization, it has not yet announced any significant capacity expansion plans for subsequent years. Moreover, China’s ban on imports of low grade recovered paper is expected to keep global pulp prices elevated, the resultant increase in global paper prices which has improved its realizations, thereby supporting its high margin ahead.
By investing in fiber-based markets, controlling costs, managing capital spending and focusing on deliberate improvement efforts to increase productivity and efficiency, expects a company generating a strong set of numbers and free cash flow in years to come.
The Author is Senior Research Analyst at Rudra Shares and Stock Brokers
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment expert on here are his own and not that of the website or its management. We advise users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

source:- https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/stocks/demand-of-import-duty-gives-pricing-power-to-paper-industry-3-stocks-could-give-20-23-return-4151431.html

Saturday, June 22, 2019

Share Market: Top gainers & losers for the week

Domestic markets ended the week on weak note with Nifty finished below 11,750 level amid uncertainty around the US-China trade negotiations and rising oil prices.

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The Nifty50 started off selling at the word go and fell further in the latter part on June 21 after escalating tensions between US-Iran and RBI Government comments.
The index closed way below 11,800 levels and formed Bearish Belt Hold pattern on the daily charts and bearish candle on the weekly scale. For the week, the index lost 0.8 percent, continuing downtrend for the third consecutive week.
The index has recently taken multiple support near 50 DEMA at 11,650 zones but the absence of buying interest is also visible at 11,850 zones, experts said, adding that bearish candle on daily, as well as weekly, scale indicates that bears are restricting its upside momentum.
The Nifty50 opened lower at 11,827.60, which was also an intraday high, and extended selling pressure in the second half to hit a day's low of 11,705.10. The index closed lower by 107.70 points at 11,724.10.
Domestic markets ended the week on a weak note with Nifty finished below 11,750 level amid uncertainty around the US-China trade negotiations and rising oil prices.
At close, the Sensex was down 407.14 points at 39,194.49. About 1157 shares have advanced, 1292 shares declined, and 167 shares are unchanged.
Here is a look at the top gainers and losers for the week:
Hexaware Technologies, up 21 percent
The share price of the software firm Hexaware Tech gained over 20 percent for the week. Japanese brokerage Nomura upgraded to the company to “neutral” from “reduce” after the acquisition of Mobiquity. On June 14, Hexaware acquired US firm Mobiquity Inc for around USD 182 million to directly compete with large digital agencies and consulting firms.
"We acquired Mobiquity Inc for a total consideration of around $182 million to directly compete with large digital agencies and consulting firms," the Indian IT firm said in its BSE filing.
Suzlon Energy, up 10 percent
Suzlon Energy added over 10 percent for the week. The stock jumped the most in five months on June 20. Lenders are likely to consider the beleaguered wind-turbine maker's plan to sell its operations and maintenance business to pare debt. The firm plans to offer a so-called one-time settlement to the lenders led by SBI using the proceeds of the sale, sources said.
Godrej Properties, up 4.65 percent
Real estate major Godrej Properties registered gains of over 4 percent for the week. However, the scrip fell 3 percent intraday on June 21 after global investment firm Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock on valuation concerns. "We downgrade Godrej Properties to underweight from equal-weight, but raised price target to Rs 802 from Rs 707 earlier," the brokerage said, adding current valuation appears ahead of fundamentals.
It further said the downgrade reflected its relative preference within its coverage universe. The stock trades at a 10 percent premium to one-year forward NAV estimate and risk-reward is skewed negatively, it added.
Jain Irrigation Systems, down 32 percent
The share price of Jain Irrigation Systems plunged as much as 32 percent for the week after India Ratings cut its long-term issuer rating. India Ratings and Research said it has downgraded Jain Irrigation Systems' Long-Term Issuer Rating to BBB from A- while placing it on Rating Watch Negative (RWN).
The downgrade reflects deterioration in the liquidity profile of Jain Irrigation on account of a delay in the realization of its receivables from its micro-irrigation systems (MIS) the segment, the rating agency said.
Reliance Communications, down 13 percent
Claims against Reliance Communications (RCom) has risen to Rs 57,382.5 crore with new entities, including some Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group companies, joining the creditors' list, according to a regulatory filing. Interim Resolution Professional (IRP) Pradeep Kumar Sethi, however, admitted dues of Rs 30 crore out of fresh claims of Rs 8,189 crore, taking admitted claims so far to Rs 49,223.88 crore, RCom said in the filing.
The stock price continued to slide even further after Reliance Communications reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 7,767 crore in the fourth quarter of 2018 -19. For the entire financial year 2018-19, the company reported a net loss of Rs 7,206 crore as against Rs 23,839 crore in 2017-18.
Jet Airways, down 11 percent
Jet Airways has been on a roller-coaster ride throughout the week with the stock skyrocketing as much as 150 percent on June 20. The Mumbai bench of National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) an admitted petition filed by the State Bank of India (SBI) for resolution of Jet Airways under the Insolvency code and suggested a timeline of 90 days, citing it as a matter of national importance.
NCLT directed the IRP to submit fortnightly progress reports on the case, with the first such report to be submitted before July 5. The troubled airline that was grounded two months ago as it ran out of cash, owes over Rs 8,000 crore to a consortium of 26 banks led by SBI.
UPL, down 11.36 percent
The share price of agrochemical company UPL registered a loss of 11 percent for the week. However, the stock rebounded 5 percent on June 21 after Deutsche Bank maintained a buy call on the stock. The brokerage house also set the target price at Rs 1,050, implying a 21 percent potential upside from current levels.
UPL shares corrected 13 percent in the previous two sessions – on June 19 and June 20 – on concerns like Mauritius Tax Law and Asian Swine Fever. Deutsche believes these concerns are overdone.
Dewan Housing Finance, down 9 percent
The NBFC crisis has led to DHFL registering yet another week of loses with the scrip ending the week 9 percent in the red. The scrip rose 10 percent on June 21 after reports made rounds that the company has sold Rs 2,000 crore worth of its loan portfolio to offshore investors led by SC Lowy, a privately-held banking group headquartered in Hong Kong.
The share price fell 16 percent to hit five-and-half-year low on June 6 as rating agencies downgraded rating on commercial paper after the company defaulted on debt repayment.
Indiabulls Housing Finance, down 8.93 percent
The share price of Indiabulls Housing Finance ended the week down over 8 percent. The stock fell 8 percent on June 12 after the company moved the Supreme Court seeking an urgent listing of a plea filed against it in which it has been alleged that the company misappropriated Rs 98,000 crore of public money.
Indiabulls Housing Finance on Friday said the Competition Commission of India (CCI) has approved the proposed merger of the company with Lakshmi Vilas Bank. "The Competition Commission of India... at its meeting held on June 20, 2019, considered the proposed combination and approved the same," Indiabulls Housing Finance said in a BSE filing.
IRB Infra, down 12.85 percent
IRB Infra ended the week with loses of over 12 percent. During the week, the share price fell 14 percent on June 19 to hit more than the five-year low after a media report indicated that there could be a new operator for Mumbai-Pune Expressway.
IRB Infrastructure told CNBC-TV18 that it will rebid for the Mumbai-Pune project in August as it contributed 13 percent to FY19 revenues. 

source:- https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/top-gainers-losers-for-the-week-hexaware-jain-irrigation-jet-airways-top-the-charts-4126111.html

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Thursday, June 20, 2019

Free Stock Tips: 4 golden rules of investing in stocks


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If you want to invest in stocks, then remember these four main things.
1. Select the right company -
Choose profitably and a better the company that has earned at least a 20% profit on the shareholder's capital.
Ideally, a long-term investment (over 5 years) allows you to participate in the company's development.
In the short term (3 to 6 months), the performance of the stock is less than the original principles of the company and the market is more motivated. While the relevance of the right price decreases in the long term.

2. Stay informed - investing in stocks is a long learning process, in which you learn from your mistakes. These are some facts that can make this process easier.
Diversity in investment - Do not exceed 10% of your fund in any one stock, even if it is a gem, on the other hand, do not invest in too many stocks as it is difficult to monitor them. For a less active long-term investor, 15-20 different stocks are good numbers.
Use this asset allocation tool to find out if you need to make additional investments from shares.
Keep analyzing your company's performance with its quarterly results, annual reports, and news articles.
Find a good broker and understand the settlement system.
Do not pay attention to the hot tips because if it really works, then we all were corpses.
Avoid the temptation to buy more because each purchase is a new investment decision. Buy as much like shares of a company as per your total allocation plan.

3.Monitoring and review -
Regular monitoring and review the stock recommendations for intraday of your investment. Keep an eye on the announcement of the results of the quarterly results of the stock and at least once a week, write down the improvement in stock prices on your portfolio worksheet. This work is more important for the unstable time when you can get a better chance to choose the value.
As you can see how you can buy a rupee coin of 50 paise coin. Buy 1 rupee coins at 50 paise
Apart from this, also check that the reasons for which you had bought the shares before, are still valid or there have been significant changes in your earlier estimates and expectations. Also, adopt an annual review process so that you can check the performance of equity shares within your total asset allocation.
If necessary, you can review RiskAnalyser because of your risk profile and risk capacity can change over a 12 month period.

4. Learn from mistakes - Identify and learn from your mistakes during the review, because no one can beat your own experience. This experience will be your 'pearl of knowledge' which will surely help you make a successful stock investor.

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Share Market: खबरों वाले शेयर, आज इनमें जरूर रहेगी हलचल

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शेयरों की हर हलचल पर पैनी नजर रखकर अपने निवेश को सुरक्षित जरूर किया जा सकता है। यहां हम बता रहे हैं ऐसे शेयर जो रहेंगे आज खबरों में और जिन पर होगी बाजार की नजर।
HDFC AMC
ESSEL GROUP कंपनियों में निवेश का घाटा HDFC AMC झेलेगा। साथ ही HDFC AMC, FMC में निवेशकों का पूरा पैसा वापस करेगी। HDFC AMC फिलहाल 500 करोड़ रुपये का घाटा अपने खाते में लेगी। HDFC AMC का 1156 करोड़ रुपये का एक्सपोजर है।
JET AIRWAYS
लैंडर्स ने JET को NCLT ले जाने का फैसला किया। JET AIRWAYS के लिए सिर्फ एक बोली मिली है।
MAX INDIA
प्रोमोटर ने 2.75 करोड़ शेयर छुड़ाए है।
DHFL
DHFL ने NCD पर 56.8 लाख के ब्याज का भुगतान किया है।
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK
बोर्ड टियर-II बॉन्ड जारी करने पर विचार करेगा।
INDIGO
नए विमान खरीदने के लिए 20 अरब डॉलर का ऑर्डर दिया है। कंपनी CFM INTERNATIONAL से नए विमान खरीदेगी। 2020 से नए एयरक्राफ्ट की डिलिवरी मिलनी शुरू हो जाएगी।
TECH MAHINDRA
कनाडा की OBJECTWISE CONSULTING GROUP को 27.5 लाख कनाडियन डॉलर में कंपनी खरीदेगी।
MCLEOD RUSSEL
ICRA ने कंपनी के कर्ज की रेटिंग BBB- से घटाकर B- की है। IRCA ने आउटलुक निगेटिव किया है।
BIOCON
कंपनी अपनी सब्सिडियरी ब्रांडेड फॉर्मूलेशन कारोबार को 45 करोड़ रुपये में बेचेगी।

source:- https://hindi.moneycontrol.com/news/hot-stocks-news/stocks-in-news_208303.html

Saturday, June 15, 2019

Free Stock Tips | Will the SIP in these 5 stocks get 25% return?


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The stock market reached a record high on June 3. Before the general budget, the stock market is trading in a limited range. This indicates that there will be a rise in any particular stock.
Market analysts say that this rapid growth of the market has already been higher than the fundamentals. In such a scenario, there is not much scope for indices. However, the valuation of some large-caps and many small and mid-cap stocks is at the right level.
Bharat Ram Elkitu, India Equity Head of BNP Paribas, said the valuation of the index is not at the right level. Still, you can choose some good stocks from the market. He said that BSE Midcap and Small Cap have recovered from their lowest level. But their valuation is still better than the Nifty.
The brokerage house has recommended 16 stocks that you can get up to 18-25 percent returns. For better returns, you can sip for 18 to 24 months.
Bharat Electronics
BEL is the country's largest Defense Electronics Equipment Manufacturing Company. The company has an addendum of Rs 51,798 crores till March 31. This can increase the company's earnings and profits in the coming quarters.
Can Fin Homes
In the first quarter of the calendar year 2019, declining discount in the interim budget, the reduction in the rate of GST rate cut and home loan has increased both the housing sales and supply. In the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2019, the company's loan disbursement increased 18.5 percent to Rs 812 crore.
This trend will continue from rural to urban areas. During 2001-2011, the urban population of the country increased by 2.8 percent from the CAGR. There has not been much penetration in the loan finance in India right now. So there is a lot of opportunity for the company.
Hero Motocorp
This company's occupation of the two-wheeler market in India remains intact. The company's market share in Fiscal Year 2013 was 53 percent, which is also up to 50 percent in the fiscal year 2019. The company is launching new products in scooters and premium motorcycle segments.
The company wants the GST rate on 100CC bikes is reduced from 28 percent to 18 percent. If this happens then the company will be of great benefit.
Trent
The company is in the business of readymade garment. It works in three types of formats, which are Westside, Star, and Landmark. Trent's strongest brand is Westside. Its focus is on women's clothing and private labels.
The two-decade-old company's strategy is from private labels. The company is the expansion of its store. The fourth quarter of 2019 compared to last year was satisfactory to the company in terms of revenues. During this period, the company's earnings are 26.4 percent. Their EBITDA increased by 19 percent and after-tax 38 percent more profits.
HDFC Life
The value of the company's Value of Business (VNB) has increased marginally. It is expected that HDFC Life's life insurance premium will remain at around 70 percent of HDFC Life. At present, the company is getting many competitive advantages from its partner HDFC Bank.
(Expert’s Investment Idea are private.)

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Market Live: सेंसेक्स 115 अंक टूटा, निफ्टी 11,900 के नीचे फिसला

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09.35
एशियाई बाजारों मे आज कमजोर कारोबार देखने को मिल रहा है। एसजीएक्स निफ्टी पर भी हल्का दबाव देखने को मिल रहा है। ट्रेड टेंशन बढ़ने की आशंका से कल अमेरिकी बाजारों में लगातार दूसरे दिन गिरावट देखने को मिली। उधर अमेरिका में क्रूड इनवेंटरी बढ़ने और डिमांड में कमी की आशंका से कच्चे तेल में 4 फीसदी की भारी गिरावट देखने को मिली है। ब्रेंट 60 डॉलर के नीचे फिसल गया है।
भारतीय बाजारों पर नजर डालें तो सेंसेक्स और निफ्टी की चाल में सुस्ती देखने को मिल रही है। दिग्गज शेयरों के साथ ही आज मिड और स्मॉलकैप शेयरों में भी सुस्ती नजर रही है। बीएसई का मिडकैप इंडेक्स 0.21 फीसदी की कमजोरी के साथ 14,891.82 के स्तर पर नजर रहा है। वहीं, स्मॉलकैप इंडेक्स 0.33 फीसदी की कमजोरी के साथ 14,500.61 के स्तर पर कारोबार कर रहा है। क्रूड में कमजोरी का फायदा तेल और गैस शेयरों को मिल रहा है। बीएसई का ऑयल एंड गैस इंडेक्स आज 0.22 फीसदी की बढ़त के साथ कारोबार कर रहा है।
बाजार में आज रियल्टी और फाइनेंसियल सेक्टर शेयरों को छोड़कर चौतरफा दबाव देखने को मिल रहा है। निफ्टी के ऑटो इंडेक्स में 0.29 फीसदी, एफएमसीजी इंडेक्स में 0.44 फीसदी, आईटी इंडेक्स में 0.10 फीसदी, मेटल इंडेक्स में 0.88 फीसदी और फार्मा इंडेक्स में 0.12 फीसदी की कमजोरी देखने को मिल रही है।
हालांकि कारोबार के इस दौरान रियल्टी, मीडिया और फाइनेंशियल शेयरों में कुछ खरीदारी दिख रही है। निफ्टी का रियल्टी इंडेक्स 0.42 फीसदी की बढ़त के साथ कारोबार करता नजर रहा है।
फिलहाल बीएसई का 30 शेयरों वाला प्रमुख इंडेक्स सेंसेक्स करीब 115 अंक यानि 0.3 फीसदी की कमजोरी के साथ 39,640 के स्तर के आसपास कारोबार कर रहा है। वहीं एनएसई का 50 शेयरों वाला प्रमुख इंडेक्स निफ्टी करीब 35 अंक यानि 0.28 फीसदी की कमजोरी के साथ 11,875 के नीचे कारोबार कर रहा है।
source:- https://hindi.moneycontrol.com/news/market-news/market-live-updates-sensex-down-115-points-nifty-slips-below-11900-share-market-updates_207885.html